July 6, 2023
In the first study of racial voting pattens to examine every U.S. congressional district, CSAP faculty affiliate Shiro Kuriwaki and his colleagues found that race explained 60% of variation in voting preferences for the last two presidential elections, with geography accounting for another 30% of the variation.
For a paper published last week in American Political Science Review, Kuriwaki, Stephen Ansolabehere and Angelo Dagonel of Harvard University, and Soichiro Yamauchi developed new statistical techniques and applied them to large-sample surveys and demographic and presidential election data from all 435 congressional districts across the country. Read the full story by Rick Harrison at the link below.